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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The uncertainty is worse this year because of the heavy use of waitlists. We're going to have to wait through the summer for this all to play out. Even then many DCs will end up at safety schools.

It will be even worse next year. Maybe the waitlists and chaos will be lessened if the colleges somehow manage to adjust their yield calculations, but I doubt it.  The same factors that gave rise to the chaos and uncertainty will be joined by another factor:  the inconsistent application of lockdowns and virtual learning meant that some schools and some parts of the US had more opportunities for classes, sports and ECAs which the kids in this area didn't.  That is yet another disadvantage that the class of 2022 will have to deal with.[/quote]

Why would it be worse for class of 2022? Things should be much better by then.[/quote]

Applications for 2022 are due in October. What will be so much better by then? They will have spent 3 out of the 6 semesters that count for ED under COVID conditions (and two of non Covid semesters were Freshman year, which is awful for a lot of kids). Huge numbers of them didn't take the PSAT, most have not yet been able to take the SAT, in trying to figure out where to apply they look to the two years before them and see unprecedented admits from WL for 2020, and a total mess from 2021, so they cannot predict what will happen for them. They have not been able to visit schools, so they will be applying ED blind. Those with some ability to visit schools in the Fall might see the schools they apply RD before they apply, but mostly it will be the same blind application process as 2021. Basically, they have very little idea how to gauge safety and match, and for a lot of kids, the picture they will present to the schools is far from their best or who they would have been but for COVID, while others will present a rosy picture that may not match their actual abilities, while others managed to stay on track or weren't affected by COVID much at all -- but admissions won't be able to really tell who is who -- and neither can their teachers or counselors, who really have only known them in COVID times.[/quote]

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