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Reply to "Arizona is a disaster"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous] Well. [twitter]https://twitter.com/RepGregStanton/status/1272285577497452550[/twitter][/quote] Well. That’s more than a little bit of fear mongering. AZ current new case rate is around 150 new cases per day per million. NY at its peak was around 550 per day per million. NY is down now, but it’s because the virus burned through the vulnerable population and not as many people are showing up at the ER. Remember, most of the charts we see are on a logarithmic scale, so they don’t really reflect the scale of the disparities between places like NY & AZ. http://www.91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/?fbclid=IwAR31GHXuyL1QxPp5xKusUXXQg2e0EEpwm9_oqEadVpooHw8CusCDSmUeBPg[/quote] +1[/quote] Yesterday Arizona had 315 new cases per million residents. But you're right, New York had more at their peak so everything's fine.[/quote] I didn't say everything's fine. I said that the tweet you quoted is misleading. Besides, I was citing 7 day averages, which is really a more useful number. If you want to pick peak days, Arizona's peak day so far is 321 new cases per million and NY's was 587 per million. Note this is a per capita number for the entire state, and not just NYC. But I guess saying AZ has 54% of the new cases per day that NY did at its peak [u]per capita[/u] isn't as exciting. If you want to look at total numbers, AZ's peak has been 2,341 new cases per day and NY's was 11,434, and NY had 646 cases [u]yesterday[/u]. But, likewise, I guess you don't get many re-tweets if you announce that AZ's new case rate has finally reached 20% of NY's peak per capita. Finally, comparing these numbers is still apples and oranges. AZ's positivity rate on tests is 18.83% right now, which isn't great, but at it's peak, NY rate was 41.88%. Want to place a bet on how many cases were actually missed by testing in each state? According to press reports, testing for patients coming into the hospital for other procedures has increased the percentage of asymptomatic and mildly symptomatic cases that are being caught. At it's peak, NY was even testing everyone with symptoms. AZ does need to get this under control, but the people who are circulating misleading data aren't helping that situation, they're just further eroding their credibility. http://www.91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/?fbclid=IwAR31GHXuyL1QxPp5xKusUXXQg2e0EEpwm9_oqEadVpooHw8CusCDSmUeBPg [/quote] +1000[/quote]
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