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[quote=Anonymous]Also, those arguing here that demographics for VA are in decline are completely forgetting that UVA, W&M etc take a large chunk of their students from Fairfax County.  Now with Amazon on the horizon and tremendous growth in the Dulles corridor, Dean J. says the largest growth in appliications to UVA is from Loudon County, which previously sent very few students (some counties in Virginia send none).  Arlington, too, is way up.  You can't look at demographics across an entire state and jump to a conclusion  You have to look at the growth centers, which is Tysons, Dulles, Arlington, Loudon, etc.  Below are some stats from Dean J. at UVA in 2016 but I don't think the maps are coming through:

Okay, now let's look at some maps!
UVA Magazine published an awesome article about the Class of 2020 that includes a lot of admission data. My favorite part is the map area, where you can hover over a county (or state or country) and see how many students in the first-year class are from a particular area. If you hold the shift key and click on multiple areas, you can get a summary.

Above, we saw that 3,720 students are in the Class of 2020. If I add up the counties/cities in Northern Virginia, I can see that 1,130 students are from the area. So, four counties and four cities are pretty well-represented in the class. So 2,590 students are from the other 91 counties and 34 cities that make up the Commonwealth.

Side note: Back in the day, I'd set aside a day or two for Loudoun County visits. These days, one of my colleagues covers Loudoun while I cover Fairfax, Arlington, and Alexandria. The number of Loudoun high schools has increased as the area has been developed!

You can see how the numbers increased in our student body on the map:

Keep in mind that when you see charts with admission data on them, you are seeing the results of an elaborate review process plotted using just a couple variables. Things like scattergrams don't tell you how we make decisions. 
 
 As always, I'm happy to chat with you via the comments![/quote]

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