Reply to Drew Model Elementary: proposed boundaries (s/o from APS/SA thread specific to Drew)

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Just a friendly reminder to all concerned.... repeat after me (this time, with feeling!)

Abingdon is not overcrowded.... Abingdon is not overcrowded....

Abingdon is not even at capacity! Abingdon is not even at capacity!

It's 100% true, per Abingdon's rock star team.... let's all take a deep breath and question this notion that we need to shed kids from Abingdon this year....

now back to the refrain.... Abingdon is not overcrowded.... it's not even at capacity! 
[/quote]

On this note, what is the source of the huge differences between the newly published Sept enrollment numbers and the number of resident students with option school attendees removed in the “no change” scenarios for 2019? Ex: Abingdon K-5 2019 estimate 811 vs current enrollment 633? Barcroft 2019 estimate 572 vs current enrollment 396. Oakridge and Henry are off by more than a normal years growth too. Are there really that many new student expected in one year?

https://www.apsva.us/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/School-Level-Data-Table-for-Existing-and-Proposed-Boundaries-Final.pdf

https://www.apsva.us/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/Sept-30-Membership-2018-19.pdf[/quote]

I don’t know for sure, but I think there are different possible explanations for each of them. Abingdon has lost its priority for Claremont and that’s expected to drive up enrollment as transfers fall. They’re planning to get rid of the year-round calendar for Barcroft which would then also cut off transfers to Randolph, so numbers could go up meaningfully there. All of the South Arlington schools lost priority for Campbell so you could see fewer transfers from all of them, which means higher neighborhood school enrollment,[/quote]

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