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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]There will certainly be injuries at this point in the season.  I would say Madison is the clear front runner.  [/quote]

Why are they the clear front runner? [/quote]

Because Madison has beaten everyone that is good. They will run the table and win by ten against every team they play. They are on a different level right now and are unstoppable[/quote]

Um.  Not precisely.  They lost to Battlefield.  Beat Robinson by 1.  Tied Western Albermarle before weather intervened.  And acquitted themselves well, but lost to 2 privates.  Beating up on Concorde District teams of later does not suggest they can do that against BF or Robinson--although they do look they they have improved from those early season match ups.  Testing themselves against privates down the stretch will also serve as good prep for playoffs.[/quote]

They just destroyed a good Oakton team.  They are battle tested and appear to be getting stronger.  From what I saw, they are faster than everyone else.  Assuming everyone is full-strength (which won't be the case), I have it:

Tier 1: Madison (about 40% chance to win states)
Tier 2: BF and Robo (about 25% chance for either of these two to win states)
Tier 3: YT and Woodson (about 5% chance for either of these two to win states)

Others that could play spoiler (but probably won't): WF, McLean, Cosby, Oakton

This is my take giving greater weight to the most recent games.
 [/quote]

Robo is in the Tier 1 with Madison and Cosby could sneak in for the third.
BF is Tier 2 or even Tier 3.  They lost to a not so good Oakton team.  They are not getting better with a weak schedule.

Madison favorites at 65%, Robo, Cosby and least likely BF or Yorktown. [/quote]

I am not a BF fan at all, but you do realize that they literally just beat Robo AND Cosby just last week! So, you are kind of contradicting yourself onto stupid statements

I think it is all Madison’s at this point. They have definitely gotten better as the season has gone on[/quote]

The state brackets shape up so Battlefield likely has Woodson and then Yorktown/Cosby in the semis. Madison and Robo would be on same half and have to get by 2nd place teams in Region A and B to meet in the semis.  It is probably Madison/Robo vs Battlefield/Cosby in the state final. So it probably comes down to those 4.

[/quote]

Not trying to argue, but you have those backwards. BF-YT play and then Cosby-Woodson play

Assuming things work out as the majority of us are predicting

After that, it’s anyone’s game[/quote]

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