Reply to ECNL moving to school year part 2

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Party’s over for most top team players. 
Unless you’re playing up most kids will be replaced. Maybe 7 or 8 current starters will be left per team on average.

If you’re a sub or low min player you’re out…

Jan to July people to learn what RAE is.[/quote]
And within 6 months of playing down pine riders in BY will find their way to the bench under SY.

All the parents that think playing down will be their kids magic ticket to success will find out that it wasnt RAE keeping their kid from starting.[/quote]
🤣🤣🤣 I mean actual studies come to a very different conclusion but because you say it,  it must be true.  [/quote]
Yes aug/sept birthdays that come up in a SY system will be a larger percentage of starters.

No aug/sept birthdays that came up in a BY system but suddently switch to SY will not be a larger percentage of starters.

They will get an initial boost but over time they will find their way to the bench in SY just like they did in BY.[/quote]

Aug to Nov. players will be the majority and take the starter position just as Jan to Apr. players are doing now. In tournaments this summer, when you see younger Nls play up, they get destroyed by older RL teams.

[/quote]

Aug to Nov. players are not only older, but also trained with older players from the beginning. I would say 4 or 5 younger NL players remain in the top ECNL program.[/quote]

I can guarantee some ECNL teams will be almost completely replaced. Parents have no idea what’s coming.
Every Q3/4 ECNL player will be able to go down and take a roster spot. I don’t think parent realize their kids aren’t special they’ve just competed against kids their exact same age. RAE is real.

The only difference will be there just isn’t as many Q3/4 playing at the top levels but definitely enough to fill all the top teams for ECNL clubs GA going to get most of the RL Q3/4 player and all the ECNL kids that lose their spot. [/quote]

Using my kid as an example (late December 2010), I asked Perplexity to give me the average speed gain and height growth for boys going from 14 to 15 years old.

Here are the results:

1) Max sprinting speed increases 8-12% annually, which equates to 0.6 to 0.8 meters per second increase in speed.  This is equal to 1.36 mph to 1.81 mph faster.

2) Average height increases 2.5 to 3.0 inches per year in this age category.

In his new age category, on average, my boy will gain on average 7 months of development relative to his old age group.  He used to be the youngest.  Now he will be older than a little over 7 months with of players.

Assuming the above is linear (realize it probably isn’t), he will gain 0.80 mph to 1.05 mph in speed and 1.45 inches to 1.75 inches in height.

The average kid in my son’s position will go from likely being the smallest and slowest to being above average height and speed.

My son has the good fortune of being quite fast (second fastest player on his RL team), but he is a bit small for his category.

Next season he will be faster than (almost) all of his teammates and taller than most of his teammates.

Add the fact that the smaller kids are probably more technical, this shift will mean the kids that were technical, small and slow will now be even more technical, average size or bigger, and fast.

The boost to the Q4 kids will be massive
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