Reply to CORONAVIRUS/COVID-19 NEW MEGA THREAD

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]

Biogen conference in Boston is responsible for almost all MA cases now. I'd be looking at why there and not the colleges. My guess is going to be handshakes, etc.[/quote]

Any clusters I think are just a by product of an initial person somehow being tested, perhaps because he had severe pneumonia.

Here's an example.  Say three travelers pick up the infection from Milan all return to the US and all come down with COVID-19.

One traveler is a student and goes to campus and spreads illness there.  The student is sick for a few days but even if she called the health care center they wouldn't have tested her 2 weeks ago -- no contact with China.   She goes on to infect many students at her college, plus a child care center where she volunteers.   Those cases are just sprouting up now but again most are young so no surprising pneumonia.   Only in another two weeks will some infections sprout up in those kids' grandparents or in contacts of other college students she infected.

One traveler is a 35 year old yoga teacher returning from a vacation.  She is sick with a fever and cough but thinks nothing of it.  She passes the infection on to her yoga students and people at the health food store where she shops.   One of the workers at the health food store passes it on to his grandma in a nursing home who is now ill with pneumonia but she's 85, no one thinks anything of it.   No one knows anything about the COVID-19 in the community or in the nursing home at the moment.

One traveler is a businessman and goes to a conference and meets a lot of people.  He's 58 and has diabetes.  He infects the same number of people as the college student, but because he actually developed severe symptoms, he got tested.   There is now a cluster related to the conference everyone is worried about and contact testing... but no one is thinking at all about the other two clusters yet because no one tests anyone unless they are linked to a known case.[/quote]

Agreed. And this is why I think it's been around longer than the last couple weeks.  Lots of people with mild symptoms.  We had a virus with symptoms very similar to Corona go through our area a month ago.   I've treated a crazy number of pneumonia patients at the hospital the last couple of months.  I'm not saying we shouldn't be concerned or shouldn't take precautions, but the panic on this forum doesn't match what I see IRL [/quote]

I love how so many people think whatever fever they had a month ago is this novel virus from China. If it was endemic here it would be widespread in all the countries testing more thoroughly [/quote]

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