Reply to Let's talk about the lower performing schools in FFX

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The bigger problem is at Poe MS, which feeds mostly to Annandale and is now the highest FARMS MS in the county. If people won't send their kids to Poe, they probably won't send them to Annandale, either.  FCPS needs to find a way to add some more SFH to Poe/Annandale.[/quote]

As a refresher, staff said that with the changes they proposed, Poe would have 1134 students in 2016-2017, with a 50% FARMS rate.

http://www.boarddocs.com/vsba/fairfax/Board.nsf/files/8HVNYL5F4733/$file/Appendix%20A%20-%20%20%20Annandale%20Regional%20Study.pdf

They just finished June with 871 students, and a 72% FARMS rate.

Oops.[/quote]

Bingo.

At least four School Board members have expressed "dismay" about these results. However, four is not a majority (although other district Board Members tend to defer to the opinion of the District Board member -- in this case, Mason District's Sandy Evans.[/quote]

Sandy Evans opposed that redistricting back in June 2011.  A motion by Evans to keep the relevant part of Frost/Woodson at Poe/Annandale failed on a 6-6 vote, but was supported by current members Evans, Strauss and Moon (none of those who opposed Evans' motion are still on the School Board). So the issue isn't Sandy, but others on the Board, including Megan McLaughlin, who cares more about Woodson than any other school.

As PP noted, the staff projections were horribly bad, and show why FCPS has to exercise caution when changing boundaries in ways that drive up FARMS rates at particular schools. They never take into account the possibility that people with the means to do so may avoid schools they perceive to have passed a tipping point in terms of demographics and FARMS. Falls Church and Stuart seem more resilient, due to their locations, but Annandale and Lee will end up looking like some of the schools in MCPS like Wheaton and Kennedy unless FCPS redistricts Woodson and West Springfield in the next five years.[/quote]

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