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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]What I never get is that the hurricane timing infallibly moves to half a day, if not a day later than expected. It's systematic with every storm. Now it's moved from Wednesday 8 am to Thursday 2 am. Maybe it's to err on the side of caution so people get prepared, but my county cancelled school a day too early.[/quote]

Evacuation is not an instantaneous process.  Closing a day early ia better than closing just in time.  If you're interested in preventing loss of life.[/quote]

Yes, there are people who are not prepared 2-3 days in advance to evacuate.  So, canceling school a day early gives people extra time to pack and prepare and get their family out of the area.  As the PP mentioned, the process is not instantaneous.  The roadway system is not designed for an entire area to vacate at once.  So, if you close school early, some families will leave earlier and will make it that much easier for the people who are leaving later or caught in the jam by reducing the amount of backup that it causing the jam.  In Irma in 2017, it took 12+ hours for some of the roads to clear and some people only barely made it out before the storm hit their areas.

As for the timing, they give the average timing based on meteorologic data.  But storms speed up and slow down all the time.  They try to err on the cautious side.  What do you think would be the response if they tried to be more accurate and predicted a later time, but then the storm sped up and many people were caught before they could evacuate and more people died?  When you are dealing with a natural event that is very likely to cost human life, you err on the side that will protect as many lives as possible.  If you save even one extra life by being cautious, then it's worth it.[/quote]

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