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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]NEW HAMPSHIRE 2024: Marist (A)

[b]Biden: 52% (+7)
Trump: 45%[/b]
.
Haley: 47% (+3)
Biden: 44%
 .
Biden: 51% (+9)
DeSantis: 42%
.
Biden: 44% (+3)
Trump: 41%
RFK Jr: 12%
—
[b]Generic Ballot
Republicans: 48% (+1)
Democrats: 47%[/b]
—
1,157 RV | 1/15-17 | MoE:  ±3.8%
https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-presidential-contest-in-new-hampshire/[/quote]

Trump drags the party down 8 points. Impressive! [/quote]

I'd vote for Christie over Biden. I'd consider Haley over Biden. I will never vote for Trump [/quote]

60% of eligible voters will never vote for Trump under any circumstance which in a historically normal presidential election would give him very little chance of victory. Against Biden he has a 50/50 chance of winning. Against a less unpopular Dem presidential candidate Trump chances of winning would be slim to none as they should be. [/quote]

Evidence?[/quote]

The actual percentage of never Trump voting eligible voters is likely higher than 60%. A significant number of these eligible voters that are never Trump voters will be part of the 30% of eligible voters that won't vote in the 2024 election. An example of how the numbers in the 2024 election could go- of the eligible voters that do vote, approximately 45% vote for Trump, 45% vote for Biden and 10% vote for a 3rd party. The percentage of votes that go to 3rd party candidates is a big variable that will depend on many TBD factors. 98% of the total votes going to Trump and Biden again in 2024 seems very unlikely considering how unpopular they have become. There is opportunity for the 3rd party candidates currently running to pull in at least 10% of the total votes. If No Labels does as they have said they would and fields a candidate once a Trump vs Biden rematch becomes official, they could pull in a much higher percentage of the total votes if they were to convince big name R or D politicians to run on their ticket and they were to put forth a moderate political platform with messaging that isn't as divisive as the messaging of the two major political parties. [/quote]

Currently Larry Hogan is the odds on favorite. He is a very pro-life candidate who is more likely to pull from Trump than Biden.[/quote]

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