Reply to Number of Longfellow kids admitted to TJ in 2022

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Example of TJ and McLean matriculation using numbers they've reported in their school newspapers in recent years (TJ first, McLean 2nd)... I'm ballparking "tiers" based on US News rankings and combining national, international, and SLACs:

Top-20ish tier (excl. UVA) - 16%, 5%
Top-4 publics (UVA, Cal, UCLA, Mich) - 20%, 11%
Next tier (rank ~20-50) - 31%, 13%
Next tier (rank ~50-120) - 22%, 23%
Everything else (including NVCC, GMU, etc.) - 9%, 49%

Obviously where kids matriculate to depends on a wide variety of factors, and this also ignores kids who didn't proceed directly to college from HS (and/or chose not to report it in their HS paper)... but in "ballpark" terms it appears for example the "middle 1/3" of the class at TJ is getting into and attending that rank ~20-50 tier colleges, whereas at McLean you need to be in the top ~15-30% of your class to access that same tier.

For top-20 schools, you need to be top 5% at McLean, but only top 16% at TJ... which one of those is the easier to achieve? (I'm guessing top 5% at McLean)... though again these numbers ignore various hooks and other factors that could play in. If you don't have one of those, maybe it is harder from McLean, maybe you'd actually need to be top 1-3% at McLean in the absence of those other considerations.[/quote]

If your goal is to go to a top-tier school, you need to be the best of the best, so it isn't about which is easier but which will better prepare you for that future.  There are opportunities at TJ that just don't exist at McLean; however, if you just want to go to UVA, it's probably a fine choice.[/quote]

Sorry, I should have linked it to the comment I was responding to, which was [b]"parents understand that they'll get better college admissions if they're at the top of their base school than they get if they're middle of the pack at TJ"[/b]. I was just trying to quantify it rather than using meaningless vague terms like "best of the best".

Yes, how prepared you are to succeed is an important, but separate, question. I'm just trying to interrogate the bolded assertion and look at what that actually materially means in terms of numbers.  But yes, IF you think your student would be top-15% at base school or about mid-pack (middle 1/3) at TJ, then it looks like your college admissions prospects would be better at your base school. Agree that doesn't speak to how well prepared you are when you get there. It also depends on your subject area interests and myriad other things as to which path makes sense. But at least I'm providing some actual numbers for the specific question of 'comparative class rank's impact on admissions prospects' between schools.[/quote]

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