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College and University Discussion
Reply to "Applying to 20 schools, crazy or not?"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Depends. A) Need a large aid package and applying to a mix of schools (not crazy) B) [b]shotgunning 10+ highly selective schools (crazy)[/b] [/quote] This is OK, if you've got lots of time and money to waste on applications. DD wanted to apply to a large number of reaches, but we pared it down to two. There's a less than 5% chance she'll get in, and I don't want her wasting her time on these schools where there are tons of applicants just as special and great and extraordinary and gifted and smart and talented with high grades and test scores as DD. Why bother with this crapshoot? She's great, but so are most of the other applicants. [b]Her chances don't improve by much if she applied to 10 such schools. It's 5% at each one, so she might win, but more likely than not, she won't, and all that time and money will go down the drain.[/b] [/quote] Thank you. Soooo many people don’t understand this. [/quote] 5% at each, 40% at one of the 10. Not too bad[/quote] :roll: That’s not how it works. [/quote] +1000 (minus the eye roll). Game Theory does not work in admissions. Each admissions decision is an independent event. Each institution has different criteria. [b]But most importantly[/b]: a 5% admissions rate does not mean your kid's chances are 5% because it is a one-time event, so they are either 100% or 0%, and you can't know in advance. Do not attempt to use game theory in admissions.[/quote]
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