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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]FWIW, Loudoun's new case numbers are not great (313 new cases reported yesterday; average daily cases per 100K sitting at 66 which is above VA average of 54).

Much of the rest of the country seems to have peaked (for now at least).

Hopefully we are just a week or two behind.

[/quote]

Yeah, 14 day average of new cases is 933 today!! But PCR is 15.0 which is thankfully going in the right direction. [/quote]

They don’t care anymore, I want them to open when PCr rate is below 10%, if we can’t do that maybe they should stayed closed [/quote]

Careful what you wish for. The new strands from Brazil and South Africa haven't really impacted us yet, but the approved vaccines don't work as well against them. Fauci said it appears to be "levels below" the effectiveness  against the current strand, and that's not been proven yet with human trials -- just in vitro. Those new strands are also more contagious, like the UK strand that has caused schools to shut down again in at least two European countries. CDC is working with Pfizer and Moderna on a possible "booster" shot, in case either the Brazil or South Africa strand becomes dominant in the U.S. and we wind up needing a booster vaccine. They don't know whether the J&J vaccine will work against those strands at all.

All this to say, I don't think the situation is getting any easier for getting kids back in school, not until there is a vaccine for them too. I have doubts about how the CDC and the vaccine companies are going to be able to handle 1) finishing two shots for 300 million Americans when so far they've only been able to get 25 million people to take one shot; 2) possibly producing and delivering booster vaccines against the Brazil/South Africa strands, and 3) producing vaccines for children. It's daunting.

I think we're better off getting kids in schools now and closely monitoring, than to hope that they are back to school in the fall.[/quote]

That's not what Fauci said. He said that the vaccine would STILL BE effective, even if it was "levels below" the current effectiveness. Stop fear mongering. [/quote]

I'm honestly not trying to fear monger. He did not say that it would still be effective. He said that it appears, in vitro, to behave as though it will be "levels below" the effectiveness that it is against the current strand. Effective just means that it will prevent some number of people from getting sick from the virus. They do not know the percentage of people that would be protected from it. That is why they are already working with Pfizer and Moderna on a booster shot. If they thought it was effective enough alone, they wouldn't be working on a booster. The fact that they are working on a booster is great news, but that is actually also what concerns me about schools opening this fall. There is only so much capacity among these two companies to make vaccine.[/quote]

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