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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][b]The better indicator is probably in-state acceptance rate[/b], which averaged about 45% from 2005-2017 and never dropped below 40%, but hit 38.4% in 2018.  So UVA is now at a historically low level, and rates in Nova are also lower.  Virginia Tech has never been below 60% in-state admission rate in that period, but is also trending down at 60.2% in 2018.  With VT, engineering and the rest of the university diverge in selectivity.   W&M averaged about 43% from 2005-2017 and had sub 40% admissions rates in 2009 and 2010, but was at 45% in 2018, so is still selective, but not trending down.[/quote]
Why would the in-state acceptance rate be a good (or better) indicator? For what? It's merely a reflection of how many applicants the school gets, and not of how difficult it is to get in.
We know VA high school graduates are declining, we know now in-state acceptances and attendances are not declining (in fact slightly increasing); so the obvious conclusion is that overall that the top public VA schools (UVA, W&M, VT) have not gotten more, but less selective at least as far as VA residents are concerned.

The number of applications they get is probably just a factor of how much self-selection is taking place but doesn't reflect the true selectiveness of these in-state schools.[/quote]

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