Reply to Who said there isn't a North-South divide?

Forum Index » VA Public Schools other than FCPS

Reply to "Who said there isn't a North-South divide?"

Subject:

Emoticons





More smilies

Text Color: Font: Close Marks

[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I doubt they will zone kids away from Taylor and not replace them.  The asfs threads are fueled by one or two posters from the neighborhood around asfs.  Rosslyn is marginally closer to long branch than asfs, and long branch is much much closer to long branch than Taylor.  Those posters like the argument that kids in Rosslyn can have a shorter bus ride to long branch than they currently do to asfs.  
The thing though is they have to move 250 kids out of taylor this fall to fix asfs being not in its attendance zone.  Are they going to move 250 kids out of taylor and not replace them, but instead move 200 kids from asfs into long branch as the other thread suggests? No.  They could, but that would be like how they left wms empty the last time they did middle schools.  Hopefully there would be public outcry.  
They will likely move most kids back into Taylor to balance enrollment.  There might be a few kids moved to long branch, but it would be on the order of 50-100 to bring asfs back to a reasonable level of overcrowding.  Again we will see what happens, but you would hope they wouldn’t leave the school with the most capacity for trailers (Taylor) empty just because some people on the internet like the idea.[/quote]

The issue you are missing is that the ASFS seat deficit is growing much faster than any other school in APS because of the Key lottery preference.  And the key lottery is down on an east-west basis, so does not map nicely to the above distribution.

ASFS will end up with about 300 overcapacity students; they can send some of the north rosslyn to Taylor, maybe, but Long Branch will be an attractive option if Fleet really has 200 extra seats -- its a much closer school and helps address the Key zone overcrowding.[/quote]
They honestly have no clue how overcrowded asfs will or won’t be in the next five years.  They can extrapolate how many people likely will go to key without the neighborhood preference, but they have exactly one data point to base that off of.  
The 300 extra kids will come in slowly as an extra class per year, so that’s even less reason to pre-emptively move people.  
I don’t want this thread to devolve like the other asfs thread(s), so let’s just agree to disagree if you have a different perspective.  Please feel free to voice it, but let’s not argue about it [/quote]

How is it different from any other school boundary and capacity projections?  ASFS zone is just another school zone now, with a student population and growth.  Looking at those numbers is not hard -- and just like any zone can have some students go to option programs, like Long branch or Ashlawn or Henry-- but you have the base population and growth to deal with.  And ASFS is off the charts now.[/quote]

Options

	Disable HTML in this message
	Disable BB Code in this message
	Disable smilies in this message

Review message

Search Recent Topics Hottest Topics