Reply to Lottery question: what constitutes a safe pick?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Our in-bounds school is not a good fit, so I want to lottery DD for PK3.  I have already identified the good schools within a reasonable commute.  But I need to add a few schools at which our chances are solid.  What parameters should I use to identify those schools?  Any school that got through its waitlist for the current year?[/quote]

Your chances are likely going to be solid at schools that match the profile of your not acceptable IB school, for better or worse. That said, there are schools that go through a lot of their lists. We are at Cooke, which accepted all IB kids and a bunch of OOB kids in the first round and then had some drop out and called people from the list. I know that Tubman and Bruce Monroe also accepted kids off the list. I believe that Raymond had seats in play during the second lottery. I don't know the stats on Garrison or Marie Reed this year. We were offered an OOB PK3 seat in the fall of 2013 at Reed and a PK4 seat at Garrison this year, which we declined.

AppleTree is a good safety if you are IB for a school that does not have a PK3 program. Bridges is supposedly moving next year, so while it's a solid safety, you will need to weigh both commutes (now and later) into your decisionmaking. Shining Stars, which hasn't been talked about recently, went through its waitlist last year, for reasons that are probably pretty well documented on this site.

My advice is to visit every school that is geographically workable for you and make your decisions about what works for your daughter based on that list, unless your lives are flexible enough to investigate options pretty far afield.[/quote]

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