Reply to Lottery question: what constitutes a safe pick?

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Reply to "Lottery question: what constitutes a safe pick?"

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Our in-bounds school is not a good fit, so I want to lottery DD for PK3.  I have already identified the good schools within a reasonable commute.  But I need to add a few schools at which our chances are solid.  What parameters should I use to identify those schools?  Any school that got through its waitlist for the current year?[/quote]

We are exactly on the same boat. I want to place 3 or 4 schools that are "safe". Is there a waitlist number that is safe? Say, below 100? 
I see that 2Rivers waitlisted 500, so... i guess, not safe at all! [/quote]

0 on the waitlist is the only absolutely safe waitlist number.  Schools vary greatly by how far they go into their waitlists.  Bridges and Appletree are unusual in going through all or most of their waitlists.  I think there are about 7-8 schools I am really interested in, and I will fill the remaining 4-5 slots by seeing which less popular schools near us seem to have good early ed programs.[/quote]

If a school was 0 last year, will it be close to 0 again?  Or should I plan even more conservatively?[/quote]

I don't know how you can get more conservative than 0, unless you are putting several schools with 0 on the waitlist.[/quote]

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