Reply to How permanent is the Shepherd -> Deal feeder?

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Reply to "How permanent is the Shepherd -> Deal feeder?"

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]If DC does this right - unlikely - we'll do a boundary review every 10 years or so (my estimate of how often would be good).

In 10 years Deal will be full and a new renovation will be taking place to add capacity.

A new middle school will be in place in Ward 4 and a new one will be on the way.  I see that situation as a toss up from a technocratic perspective.

The political perspective is that Shepherd's community is the most-wired/highest socioeconomic status African-American community in DC, which even in 10 years will still be dominated politically by African-Americans.  Shepherd families will get what they want.  And unless something dramatic happens in Ward 4 on quality/attractiveness to higher-income African-American families, they will want to send their children to Deal.

So that's a speculative analysis, a long way of telling you "very likely yes, Shepherd will continue to feed to Deal."[/quote]

I think this analysis is mostly correct with some caveats.  Those caveats suggest it is likely as PP states, but certainly not assured.  In short, you should never count on your school boundaries.  They can change.

On Deal, it is undergoing a renovation right now.  I think that expansion will be it.  Deal will not be able to expand further.  On the new Ward 4 middle school, in some of the earlier DME proposals Shepherd was flagged as moving there at some point.  I would expect that to at least come up.  Finally, the 10 years is only for a full review.  The plan has a mechanism to review overcrowded schools sooner.  Deal falls into that camp.[/quote]

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