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[quote=Anonymous]I'm starting to do some math on the new boundaries and the various feeder arrangements.  I'm not sure though if I'm thinking about this the right way though.  I started with Deal first, because it's such a source of controversy.  Here's what I see ...

Deal capacity: 1200 (grades 6, 7, 8)
Capacity of Deal's proposed new feeders: Bancroft (563), Hearst (325), Janney (570), Lafayette (516), Murch (488), Shepherd (342) (all grades K-5?)

Assumptions: 
(1) Each of the feeders will be filled to capacity. Most are filled already, and I'm guessing that with the boundary changes, many more OOB students will apply to fill up remaining capacity, in hopes of getting access to Deal.
(2) The spread of students is roughly even across the grades. In other words, if Murch has 488 students across six grades, that's about 81 students per grade.

Are those valid assumptions?  Help me out here.

If my assumptions are right, then the collective feeders will be putting 1400 students into Deal each year.  That's 200 more than capacity.  That's not including the 20+% growth projected for the Deal boundary area.  That's not including the extra 10% OOB set aside seats at Deal that the proposal calls for (120 seats).  I get that some number of students may switch to private school after elementary, but will it really be that many?

If my back-of-envelope math is correct, it seems the proposal will quickly put Deal well over capacity.  Since I'd expect the DME's proposal to actually work mathematically, I'm think I must be missing something.  What is it?  Where will all those elementary students go besides Deal?

Any help appreciated.[/quote]

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