Reply to If the DME goes forward with 10% set asides, will this be a common outcome?

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Reply to "If the DME goes forward with 10% set asides, will this be a common outcome?"

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Your math and logic are fucked. If you argue that there are 10% chance for OOB (there isn't), then the right play would be to get something IB at a good school, not a bad one since that has a 90% chance (it doesn't).

The problem is that 10% set aside is just that - 10% of a fixed number. What you'd need to know is how many people are in the low performing bounds and how many seats there are at each school, neither of which you know. So we can't say that the odds are 10%, and it's absolutely not 10% at every school, or that would imply that your odds exceed 100%. It's not additive.

Take the total number (not %) of OOB set asides at a school that you like, add that to the set asides of other schools you want, then divide by the number of people in shitty boundaries who might want into those schools. Those are your odds. It won't be 10%.

And anyway, if your theory held water, rents would go up to reflect that game. People lie about boundaries today too btw. [/quote]

Your first point is correct despite the presentation.  Your second is not: this would likely have no impact on rent prices.  Supply exceeds demand for housing in these areas, so you would need hundreds of families playing this game to even scratch the surface and you would probably need them doing it in the same area.

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