Reply to If the DME goes forward with 10% set asides, will this be a common outcome?

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Reply to "If the DME goes forward with 10% set asides, will this be a common outcome?"

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Your math and logic are fucked. If you argue that there are 10% chance for OOB (there isn't), then the right play would be to get something IB at a good school, not a bad one since that has a 90% chance (it doesn't).

The problem is that 10% set aside is just that - 10% of a fixed number. What you'd need to know is how many people are in the low performing bounds and how many seats there are at each school, neither of which you know. So we can't say that the odds are 10%, and it's absolutely not 10% at every school, or that would imply that your odds exceed 100%. It's not additive.

Take the total number (not %) of OOB set asides at a school that you like, add that to the set asides of other schools you want, then divide by the number of people in shitty boundaries who might want into those schools. Those are your odds. It won't be 10%.

And anyway, if your theory held water, rents would go up to reflect that game. [b]People lie about boundaries today too btw[/b]. [/quote]

But the point is that it wouldn't be lying or cheating.  It would be following the rules of the system, as silly as they would be.

I am sort of playing devil's advocate here because I think that the set asides are really problematic. For someone like me, who owns a house that I don't want to sell that is IB for a very mediocre school but not one that would probably end up on the list of low performing schools, something like this might make sense. In the past, many people in my neighborhood used the OOB process to get into a better school. In the new system, people in the middle (not in the best schools but not in the worst) are especially harmed.  I recognize that the proposed system is 10% of a fixed number (and it might end up being at the school as a whole or it might be at each grade level, both proposals have been floated).  Assuming they keep the common lottery and the set aside is for each grade, I could have a chance at a seat at 12-15 schools that I would have no chance at if I didn't rent an apartment because all the available OOB seats will be filled by students from the low performing schools and there will be no chance for anyone else to get a seat OOB. Since I could rent an apartment month to month and cancel it if I don't get lucky (or even not rent one until after the lottery but before registration and be out no money at all), it might be worth the gamble.    [/quote]

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