Reply to More info on common lottery algorithm

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]So the way I read that is that, without any preferences, it comes down to lottery #.  If you get a low (early) one, you have a good chance of getting in to your top school or schools.  If you have a high (late) one, your chances aren't looking so hot for your top schools.

With any preferences (IB or sibling or OOB with sibling) your chances are better for your top school, irregardless of your lottery #.

Is this correct?[/quote]

Saying "top school" confuses things.

If you have a preference, you are only competing against people of the same or higher preference. It's impossible for a higher-preference student to lose out to a lower-preference student. The only person you can lose to is a higher preference, or an equivalent preference with a better lottery number. It's not so much that your chances are better, but rather that you're in a different lottery altogether.

The key is, rank your choices in order of preference, do not use your perception of the odds of being successful in your ranking. Once you get into one school, you get waitlisted at your higher picks but not at your lower picks. [/quote]

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