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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Decline is happening. Top kids are applying to more schools. Schools impacted are those much further down the list than generally discussed here - demand for top schools will remain high but there won't be enough to fill seats at lower schools.

That being said "cliff" is a pretty exaggerated term, particularly for the next few years. There is a decline, but not that huge. [b]Decline might also be exacerbated by a reduced demand for college degrees in general as costs go up and there are more jobs that don't require them.[/b][/quote]

Where is there evidence of this trend (in bold)? For the last 30+ years, the trend has been in the opposite direction, with nearly every job requiring a college degree even things like retail management or office management that never did before and don't require high level academics to master. Is there evidence employers for these positions are actually changing their requirements?

I recall this trend even expanding up to graduate school, at least for a time. One of my best friends went into event planning and was working for a big corporations when she was told that she could not be promoted beyond her current level unless she got a masters degree. In event planning. It was such a weird requirements, that's a hands on job that is mostly about logistics, she already had an undergrad double major in finance and design. But credentialism is pernicious.[/quote]

See this article. And I'm sure there are plenty of others. I'm not saying this reduced demand is currently in play, but it is definitely being actively discussed in many circles and is very likely to play out. Some of the shift could also be to very targeted community college programs, and one could argue whether those count or not.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/poll-dramatic-shift-americans-no-longer-see-four-year-college-degrees-rcna243672[/quote]

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