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DC Public and Public Charter Schools
Reply to "Why Will or Won’t Euclid MS succeed?"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I think there is exactly one thing that will make or break Euclid: Do the high achieving, high test scores kids from Garrison, Seaton, and Marie Reed (I don't think there are more than a couple of these kids by the later grades at Cleveland, Tubman and Cooke) stay the very first year? I believe that's current 3rd graders. Basically, if you've got a third grade kid getting 3s or 4s on PARC at one of those school, it's up to you. [b]Not exaggerating: this could come down to 20 kids.[/b] If they go that first year, you'll have a cohort of kids doing on/above grade level work and it'll snowball. More and more kids will go every year, and you'll end up with test scores similar to Seaton (about a third at or above grade level) and decent neighborhood buy in indefinitely. If that number is less than 10 kids, the school will never recover, it'll look like Cardozo did or if it does, it'll be 10+ years from now. [/quote] I think this is really true. I think is some nervousness among that grade (current 3rd graders) about being guinea pigs. Many will peel off -- some of them are younger siblings, so they will likely follow their older siblings to Francis; others will take Latin or BASIS if they get in. It will be fascinating to see what happens. [/quote] Here's a question for the lottery nerds: if a family does take a risk on Euclid and it doesn't work out, what are your lottery options for 7th grade? Are you basically stuck at your inbound at that point? Presumably you have a snowball's chance in hell at Latin, but what about ITS? Sojourner? Eliot-Hine? Stuart-Hobson? John Francis? Do they even take kids in 7th grade?[/quote] Latin, DCI: Haha ITS: About a 1 in 3 chance Sojourner: A bit of a wildcard. Most years, they've cleared their waitlist for 7th but a couple years ago there were almost 50 kids sitting on it who didn't get a spot SH: 50/50 EH: That's probably your best bet. Looks like they take about everybody for 7th John Francis: Also varies a lot by year, but looks like about 1 in 3 overall So,[b] you might have some options if you needed to call an audible, and you'd likely have Eliot-Hine as a fallback.[/b] Not too bad, as risks go. And you could always rent a place in bounds for Deal or Hardy for two years. If I were a parent of a 3rd grader I'd probably do it IF I asked around and could fine at least a handful of other smart kids my kid liked who were going. I mean, people are always wanting to make a difference. A parent of a smart 3rd grader at one of those schools REALLY has the opportunity to make a difference. Could change the fate of that school for decades. That's appealing. [/quote] Yup. This is why people are working so hard to make Euclid happen! The options are just not great. I suppose you could look at EL Haynes and Cap City. It does seem like the numbers are highly variable year to year. It's hard to predict when schools will expand capacity-- I know some schools aren't using all of their building, but they could use more if the demand was there. And John Francis will have more open lottery spots for middle school after the Euclid feeders lose their IB status there. Near multiple bus lines and a doable walk from the U St metro, I think the Euclid location will be appealing to many, including those IB for McKinley Middle, Brookland, Jefferson, and MacFarland. [/quote]
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