Reply to Fed Contracts - Great Unraveling or 18 Theses

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Another thread on FFRDCs alluded to this, but its impact extends to a ton of federal contracts, defense and civilian.

Palantir is looking to lead an in innovation revolution in defense services, and part of its claim as to why Big Five are entrenched is the wide use of cost plus contracts.

Their manifesto

https://www.18theses.com/

There is now a big push for firm fixed price contracts for almost every contract of there. We are seeing it in our science contracts, which may be bad for if we want experiments to complete, as re-do, problem resolution, are completely unpredictable so we will either have contracts padded really high or exhaust funds and work is halted. How does it work in reality?[/quote]It doesn't.

Palantir's business is selling products that (poorly) support data integration and analytics.  But data integration/analytics/the 18theses assume away the hard part - the data has to actually exist in the first place and real systems maintain the data.

For the Feds, those real systems implement absurdly complex/one-off/constantly changing Federal tax law/tax accounting, are VA legacy EHRs that run hundreds of hospitals, handle decades worth of per individual facts used in complex current decisions for entitlements payments, etc.   Those thousands of real, semi-integrated Federal systems run the Federal government.  Each of those systems is immensely complicated, poorly documented, national scale, and pass complex data to similarly complex other Federal systems.  The systems are written for hardware/OS/DB platforms in software languages that the DOGEers have simply never seen.  Maintaining/upgrading/replacing any of those systems, let alone any significant set of them, requires detailed knowledge of the existing systems and strict systems requirements/design/development/test practices.

Palantir/DOGE assume a few "brilliant" random/off-the-street techies can use AI to fix all of that in a couple days.[/quote]

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