Reply to Square the circle: how are acceptances harder to get than ever yet basic skills are at their lowest?

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[quote=Anonymous]I think this is part of it: On the federal exam (the NAEP), the bottom has basically fallen out of math and reading achievement. The average score has dropped a bit, but scores for the bottom 20% have fallen much more.

The additional part is simply that students are applying to more colleges via the Common App. That makes it harder to get accepted to any given college, but not harder to get accepted to a given group of colleges.

Say, imagine there are 100 students applying to 20 college. If each student applies to 5 colleges, they have a 1/4 chance of being admitted to each one. If each student applies to 20 colleges, they have a 1/20 chance.

There are still spots for everyone. But don't set your heart on any given college!

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IT's simple---those applying to T25 schools are not the same ones who are "in a crisis of basic competence"

A kid can get into Harvard, despite the fact 40% of their HS class will not graduate/barely graduate and 60% won't even go to college.  One has nothing to do with the other
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