Reply to Sign Up to Testify on Non-Existent Capital Improvement Program!

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The draft 2026-30 CIP was posted today.  It appears they largely roll forward information from prior CIPs, with some updated enrollment projections but otherwise little new thinking.

Some "highlights":

*  They claim that they will be working on a new renovation queue, which contradicts a statement in another recent FCPS document (relating to Dr. Reid's meeting her performance obligations) that implies they are already working on a new queue.   
[b]
*  They are projecting a slight increase in total enrollment next year (SY 2025-26), followed by four years of declining enrollments that would leave FCPS with fewer students than at any point since 2015.
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*  They have jacked up the projected budget for the unnecessary Dunn Loring ES in Vienna to almost $86 million, with no explanation as to why this project is still in the CIP.  Notably, once-overcrowded, nearby Shrevewood ES, which years ago was crowded and seeking capacity relief, is now projected to be at only 64% capacity in SY 2029-30.

*  They continue to refer to a new western high school (location TBD), with planning work now bumped to 2032 (in the last CIP, planning was purportedly scheduled to begin in 2030).

*  They prioritize renovations and expansions of elementary schools built in the late 1980s over enhancements to older high schools built decades earlier (even when those ES expansions are expected to leave several of these ES under 65% capacity).

*  The schools identified as currently grossly overcrowded (over 114% capacity), or projected to be so in five years, taking modular seats into account, are limited to Coates ES (subject of pending boundary study), Kilmer MS, and West Springfield HS.  Note that they have significantly reduced the "program capacity" for Kilmer MS in this CIP compared to prior CIPs, which is why Kilmer is now identified as grossly overcrowded.

*  They have slightly increased their enrollment projections over the next five years for Herndon HS, but still project that HHS will only be at 69% capacity in SY 2029-30); on the other hand, they have reduced their enrollment projections for Herndon MS and now project that HMS will be at 85% capacity in SY 2029-30.

*  They have significantly reduced their five-year enrollment projections for McLean HS, such that they now project that in five years McLean will only be at 103% capacity, including the current modular.

*  The five-year projections for Lewis and Mount Vernon HS have Lewis at 78% capacity and Mount Vernon at 67% capacity in SY 2029-30.  Conversely, West Springfield HS is projected to have over 3000 students and to be at 120% capacity in SY 2029-30.

*  The draft CIP continues to assume an expansion of Centreville HS to 3000 seats, which would leave the school at 69% capacity in SY 2029-30.  Nearby Chantilly HS is projected to see a decline in enrollment over the next five years, such that it would be at 98% capacity in SY 2029-30, taking the modular seats at the school into account. [/quote]

See bolded above. Best thing SB could do now is let time solve the problem.  No need to adjust boundaries.  [/quote]

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