Reply to Why the "Demographic Cliff" won't help your kid get into the Ivies

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Japan is shrinking. Greater Tokyo is growing.

South Korea is shrinking. Seoul is growing.

New York State is declining. New York City isn't growing because it doesn't build housing, but real estate prices show that pent up demand is enormous.

Similarly, the number of high school seniors in the U.S. is going to decline (the "demographic cliff").

This will make colleges overall easier to get into (if you're applying to the college equivalent of a split level in suburban Cleveland) but not if you're applying to a school like Yale (the college equivalent of a penthouse in Manhattan).

The population is shrinking in the developed world because people are getting savvier and more in control of their lives, relative to their parents and grandparents. People who are savvier and more in control of their lives want better things for themselves, and have a better idea of how to get them. This does not bode well if you want your kid to get into Harvard easily.

The pie will shrink due to closures of the weaker schools. Competition overall may stay the same or even decline slightly. But competition over the best spots will intensify. Fewer students, but more students willing to knife fight over that Ivy spot. Just like fewer Japanese, but more Tokyo office workers.

It's not getting any easier. Condolences.[/quote]

Who cares.  99% of the happy successful people in this country did not go to Ivies.[/quote]

It probably also holds true for the better state flagships. Look forward to a future where UMW closes and UVA is even harder to get into.[/quote]

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