Reply to have you known top 20% kids at the Big3 who have gotten shut out of top40 schools? ED Strategy help needed....

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[quote=Anonymous]Have you known a kid who was top 20% at a big3 (like 3.85+/1550) who got shut out of top40 schools? 
I feel like this is such a crap shoot and we are getting no direction from college counseling.  I don't know if my kid should aim for a lesser Ivy or Ivy adjacent top 20 (the recent data from this school DOES support a number of ED applications at this level for an [b]unhooked[/b] kid) OR should he/she go directly to a school ranked 30+ (a school ranked around Boston College or Tufts). 
I'm worried the kid is not going to get the ED and then fall way down through the ranks of schools.

Yes, in the end a 50+ school will be completely ok.  But honestly, the kid has killed himself/herself for this damn 3.85 (highest rigor).  
It's kind of going to be a let down if he/she ends up at Pittsburgh or Georgia or similar.  NOT the end of the world but I'm being honest here.

Sigh, Please just don't jump all over me.  We did not choose private for college admissions. 
[b]Just wondering what you would do in this situation. [/b][/quote]

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