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[quote=Anonymous]I think we need a new thread now that Milton will soon reach category 5 status and is threatening densely populated central Florida.

Here's the National Hurricane discussion on Monday morning:
"Milton's remarkable rapid intensification is continuing. Satellite
images show a small eye within the very cold central cloud cover,
and the eye is becoming better defined. Data from the Mexican
radar at Sabancuy show a small, closed eye with an intense eyewall
presentation. The Hurricane Hunter aircraft earlier reported a peak
flight-level wind of 146 kt, and dropsonde data show that the
pressure has fallen to around 933 mb, which is down about 22 mb in
4 hours. The initial wind speed is set to 135 kt, which is an
80-kt increase in 24 hours (only eclipsed by Wilma 2005 and Felix
2007 in our records)."

Tracking will probably change over the next couple of days. But the track today shows a worst case scenario where it makes landfall in Tampa Bay, which cannot cope with that type of surge:
[img]https://www.americanwx.com/bb/uploads/monthly_2024_10/IMG_8388.png.e70d301e1cc47951b70fe5cebdb92f30.png[/img]
[img]https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20241007/44c695eaac9351db94d0549d80edcab2.jpg[/img]
[/quote]

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