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[quote=Anonymous][quote=jsteele]A lot depends on the outcome of the Congressional elections. If the Senate changes hands or the make up of the House changes significantly, it would have a major impact. Obama's agenda would not necessarily change. However, economists on both sides seem to be putting a lot of faith in the "business cycle" which they expect to improve. So, the slow plodding improvement we have been seeing would likely continue. One wildcard would be if the far-right Tea Party types finally overplay their hand this cycle. We know that the Tea Party cost Republicans multiple seats in the last 2010 election. It looks like the same may be true for Missouri this time. Romney, a former moderate, has moved to the right because of the Tea Party. If he loses, and Senate seats are lost again, a narrative may develop that the Republican Party has moved too far to the right and needs a correction. Then, people like Jeb Bush would step forward to lead it back to the center. That could lead to a Congress that is much less obstructive. [/quote] Europe is another wildcard, and one that may impact the electin, not just the next 4 years. Also, to be fair, Akin is not really being propped up by the Tea Party, but by evangelical, conservative Christians. There's overlap, but the groups are not coterminus. I believe at least a few TP organizations have called for him to step down. [/quote]
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