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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]China’s Communist Party, headed by Xi Jinping for the foreseeable future, will not invade Taiwan in 2024, nor is an invasion likely in 2025.

Here is why:

[youtube]https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=oupSYGUL0dE[/youtube]

The analysis goes well beyond the small, but significant leaked revelations recently.

The CCP is secretive.  Obsessively secretive.  For these recent leaks to emerge suggests a far, far greater level of endemic corruption in China.

It will take several years; perhaps a decade, to fix.[/quote]

China will never invade Taiwan.

The last island invasions occurred in WWII - Iwo Jima, Okinawa, Tarawa. Tiny little islands. The carnage was horrific and that was with WWII weapons.

Taiwan is a large, heavily fortified mountainous island armed with the latest military technology. Active duty is roughly 200,000 with more than 2 million in reserves. They are armed to the teeth with anti-ship weapons and roughly 400 fighter planes and the latest armor. There is almost no chance a Chinese ship even makes it across the Straights. Even if they do, there are about three beaches where they can land. Taiwan has only had 80 years to build heavily fortified defenses. The rest of the terrain is steep and rugged and again favors the defenders. None of China's weapons systems have ever been tested in real world combat. It would be carnage for the PLA. And recall, that generation of soldiers are all only children. It would be political suicide for the CCP to lose an entire generation of only sons.

The best China can do is a naval blockade. But the Chinese navy is nothing. The US and its allies can obliterate it at will.

China will never militarily threaten Taiwan. It's just noise.[/quote]
Nukes?[/quote]

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