Reply to Could Crown High School and/or Northwood stall out?

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[quote=Anonymous]Statewide changes in population suggest that people have been leaving Montgomery County: https://www.fox5dc.com/news/data-shows-montgomery-county-residents-are-leaving-for-frederick-county

You can see these changes reflected in schools as well - enrollment in many schools is dropping over time.

There was hope in the real estate market that rate cuts would start encouraging people to move, lowering prices, and ease the strain on the housing market. But those cuts are looking more in doubt due to inflation being stickier than expected.

I'm currently in the market for a new home in MoCo, and prices have spiked in the last two months for areas I'm interested in. In all likelihood, this buying season is going to be pretty bad, and supply will stay severely constrained. That means prices will remain high, and the number of new students enrolling is again likely to be diminished.

Meanwhile, BoE repeatedly delayed capital projects such as the development of Crown High School and the construction of Northwood high school. They are currently scheduled to be completed in 2027, but further delays would not be abnormal.

My question is: If this trend continues, and enrollment continues to drop at its current rate, or perhaps the trend accelerates, is there a risk that the student population will dwindle to the point that it no longer makes sense to build either of these projects?

I noticed that renovations to Cold Spring and Dufief Elementary were both planned at some point, delayed for around a decade, and then cancelled. I read on this forum that at least in Dufief's case, it was because overcrowding concerns at nearby school were alleviated on their own. So I would be curious to see if that might happen with larger capital projects too.[/quote]

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