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[quote=Anonymous]I wrote about this 2 years ago in RD, and it was accurate for a few colleges. It's too early now, and I don’t think it was as prevalent in early rounds, and colleges may have changed systems,  but here is my anecdata and what I found.

The tell for us was in FA. Yes, they are separate from admissions,  but no FA ofgice is going to compute full packages for every applicant. 
Colleges did an initial download when documents cleared css/idoc in Nov even though she didn't apply until Jan. After DD added some additional honors to her apps early Mar, her FA portal showed downloads of various specific tax forms (about 2 days later) for 2 colleges.

At the time, I looked back through previous years of reddit and cc at the 2 colleges and found several similar cases. (Yup, the stress got to me)! Anyone with later downloads of specific forms (not just completing submissions) was accepted or waitlisted.

This was at 2 of about 8 highly competitive colleges. The others did not have a similar reveal.  She was admitted to 5 of them and waitlisted for another, so this was clearly not a general thing across the board. And, those colleges may have changed what can be seen since then.

In the same boat this year with one of the same schools, but ED this time. Idoc processed everything separately by form,  so the tell may be gone. But it's not that long to wait.

Good luck!
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