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Reply to "S/o -- How Obama sees the Electoral College Map"
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[quote=Anonymous]As much as I hope Obama will lose, the Electoral College map cuts in his favor this cycle and I think he has, at present, greater than 50% chance of winning. It is striking, however, how significantly his prospects have deteriorated over the past few months, and if that trend continues Obama is in trouble. Even on this map, it is touch and go for Obama. As I posted a few weeks ago, the only states that matter are Ohio and Florida. The rest is a side show barring a significant collapse by one of the candidates. Also, contra 9:57, as I read this map Michigan and Pennsylvania are already included in Obama's 243. That means he must either (1) win Florida, or (2) win Ohio and either Colorado, Wisconsin, or Virginia. This is shaping up to be a nail-biter. [/quote]
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