Reply to Question about waitlist offers and waitlist length

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[quote=Anonymous]After a disappointing lottery result, we're trying to get a sense of our odds of getting off a waitlist for any of these schools. It looks like we'll be "on the bubble" for a number of schools where we have a waitlist number in the low 40s and they've made somewhere between 30 and 50 waitlist offers in prior years.

My question is this: is there any way to get a sense of how many people wound up dropping off the waitlist because they got in elsewhere, thus shortening the waitlist without making an offer? For instance:

Waitlist on results day: 55
Total waitlist offers by October: 42

Is there any way of knowing whether those 42 offers left people on the waitlist who were still hoping for a spot and didn't get it, or if the 42 offers essentially cleared the waitlist because there were 13 peopel on the waitlist on results day who wound up getting an offer at a school they ranked higher and taking it, thus removing them from the waitlist.

I guess I'm trying to get a sense if there is often a bit of a gap (but not a huge gap, and the school has a history of making quite a few offers) between number of offers and waitlist length, if this reflects a situation where demand truly outstrips supply, or if most people ultimately get an offer if they want one.

This is for 1st grade and we're looking mostly at schools in Edgewood/Cap Hill/Brookland, if that information helps inform your answer.[/quote]

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