Reply to Number of Longfellow kids admitted to TJ in 2022

Forum Index » Advanced Academic Programs (AAP)

Reply to "Number of Longfellow kids admitted to TJ in 2022"

Subject:

Emoticons





More smilies

Text Color: Font: Close Marks

[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]DC is a rising 7th grader, will be in Algebra 1 and is generally a strong student. He will apply for TJ but if not accepted then he will be equally happy at McLean HS as well.

I am just trying to gauge realistic chances, I googled and it said 62 kids but then on this board someone mentioned 42, I would appreciate if someone can share the correct number. TIA![/quote]

Seems like Longfellow kids have some of the best odds of any school![/quote]

No... quite literally the exact opposite. If one takes a randomly chosen applicant from the FCPS pool, applying from Longfellow is one of the worst odds as there is a very, very small chance the applicant would fall in the top 1.5%. Take a randomly chosen applicant and send them from Poe MS, then there is a higher probability that they would fall into the top 1.5% of reserved seats.[/quote]

The odds of getting into TJ from Longfellow were higher than from any other AAP center with a substantial number of TJ applicants, at least last year, as the prior post indicates.

There are some middle schools that only had a limited number of applicants to TJ in the Class of 2026.  Schools with less than 20 applicants included Stone (11), Whitman (13), Herndon (15), Liberty (16), and Poe (17).  So, depending on the number of kids at those schools who ended up admitted to TJ, either based on the 1.5% set aside or from the residual pool, the admissions rate from some of those schools likely was higher than the rate at Longfellow (26.2%).  But then, if you don't get into TJ, you don't have McLean as your back-up option.   [/quote]

Just to illustrate, based on the number of 8th graders at various middle schools last year, and under the 1.5% set-aside formula alone:

Stone would get at least 6 seats, which means the admit rate last year was at least 54.5%.

Whitman would get at least 6 seats, which means the admit rate last year was at least 46.2%.

Herndon would get at least 8 seats, which means the admit rate last year was at least 53.3%.

Liberty would get at least 8 seats, which means the admit rate last year was at least 50%.

Poe would get at least 5 seats, which means the admit rate last year was at least 29.4%.

So the new process, combined with the low number of applicants from some middle schools, could lead some TJ chasers to avoid the big AAP middle centers and send their kids to schools that aren't AAP centers to improve their TJ odds.  At some point, there should be a new equilibrium, given that people are still looking at the recent admissions data and also figuring out what types of trade-offs they are prepared to make. [/quote]

Options

	Disable HTML in this message
	Disable BB Code in this message
	Disable smilies in this message

Review message

Search Recent Topics Hottest Topics