Reply to I don't think you can't time the market... but

Forum Index » Money and Finances

Reply to "I don't think you can't time the market... but"

Subject:

Emoticons





More smilies

Text Color: Font: Close Marks

[quote=Anonymous]Treasuries OP. They're yielding 5%.

The S and P 500 looks incredibly weak. It is trading right now at over 18+ times earnings. In the last 30 years, the market has only been able to sustain that level of valuation only twice - pre-dot com blow up and during the pandemic when the Fed was pumping the market. The rally from early in the year was just liquidity coming from abroad, but it is now drying up.

The market is going to fall because earnings and outlooks for companies have gotten worse while valuation is high. At a minimum, the market needs to trade closer to its historic average while the effect of rate hikes and lower earnings still need to work its way through.  TBH, I don't think you're gonna miss out on a whole lot this entire year OP.  You can park your money in a safer asset like treasuries to earn yield while avoiding  volatility. Come back later when there is more convincing evidence inflation is abating and not being sticky and the fed has more clarity on what to do.[/quote]

Options

	Disable HTML in this message
	Disable BB Code in this message
	Disable smilies in this message

Review message

Search Recent Topics Hottest Topics