Reply to COVID - recent numbers

Forum Index » Montgomery County Public Schools (MCPS)

Reply to "COVID - recent numbers - fall"

Subject:

Emoticons





More smilies

Text Color: Font: Close Marks

[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Hello.  I'm the one who predicted in 2020 that covid wasn't over, in 2021 that covid wasn't over, the winter spike last year, and earlier this year that covid mutations would be a concern.

Now here we are, facing BA.275, BA.4 and BA.5.

Here is my prediction for this year.

My guess is that a combination of mask fatigue and the non-masking parents will influence their children, who will peer-pressure other children to not wear their masks at school.  Since current vaccines are relatively ineffective against the new variants, and MCPS refuses to enable a more dynamic hybrid response, I would expect multiple and complete school shutdowns to occur when the cold weather hits (no later than January / February) due to teacher illnesses.

There is the possibility it could occur earlier (as early as October) since MC is already at a HIGH covid level (if you weren't aware), depending on the weather.  Cold and/or rainy days would work in favor of the virus, as it normally happens when kids catch colds.

https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/local/montgomery-county-reaches-high-covid-community-level/3116781/

MCPS could choose to mitigate, parents could choose to encourage masking, but both groups seem too entrenched in their positions to reason with.  My guess is the sense of entitlement is too high without a counterbalance.

My fear, and I hope I'm wrong on this, is that the counterbalance could come in the form of a large-scale negative outcome.  My guess is that the Administration is already aware of this, and why the new vaccines are being rushed and ordered to be available by October or November or even sooner, according to these articles:

https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2022/07/26/1113615330/reformulated-covid-vaccine-boosters-may-be-available-earlier-than-expected

https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2022/07/22/booster-shots-coronavirus-under-50/

But, if the unmasked parents want to stay unmasked, there's not much you can do about it (but neither will they).

https://www.newscientist.com/article/2330568-long-covid-symptoms-may-include-hair-loss-and-ejaculation-difficulties/

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-26/more-than-100-000-british-workers-are-off-sick-with-long-covid

In terms of variants, the good news is that the more proteins that appear, the fewer rabbits should be left in the hat.  The bad news is that the math is still stacked against this being the very, very last covid strain that evades immunity.

Best case scenario - the new vaccines are out by September so that the majority of kids are immunized by the end of November.  No new variants that evade prior infection or vaccine immunity.

Worst case scenario - I hope I'm wrong.

Again, this is just one opinion.  We'll see.[/quote]

While I agree with what you are saying, its an election year.  They absolutely  are not going to shut down and its going to run rapidly through the schools.

They promised us a new updated vaccine last spring and it never happened so I'm to counting on an update in the fall.

The  only hope we have is it is so contegous many will have it this summer but there will be a new variant after this.[/quote]

Options

	Disable HTML in this message
	Disable BB Code in this message
	Disable smilies in this message

Review message

Search Recent Topics Hottest Topics