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Reply to "What’s going on with the two bills?"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]It looks like both sides are digging in. Pelosis gambit to tie them together appears not to be working.[/quote] I think it's too early to tell. Tying them together was the only way to have any chance of getting either to pass. The centrists are used to being able to dictate terms in the democratic party because the centrists usually would rather have no bill than the liberal bill. That forces the liberals to concede if they want anything. But Pelosi flipped this dynamic with this two-bill strategy and handed the liberals a lot of leverage. The centrists really want the infrastructure bill. The liberals don't really care too much about it. It doesn't have their priorities in it (they were not included in any of the negotiations), and none of them are going to lose their seats in safe blue districts if they vote against it. Actually, voting for it without also getting the reconciliation bill could invite primaries for some of them. So the liberals can credibly hold it hostage in exchange for centrist votes on the reconciliation bill, and that's exactly what they're doing. It may all blow up and end up in nothing. But it could also force the centrists to the table. There are a lot of public threats going around, but there are also probably a lot of private conversations that we don't know about. [/quote]
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