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Schools and Education General Discussion
Reply to "Study shows "Reopening schools associated with a 24% increase in R (spread)"; 2nd-largest effect"
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[quote=Anonymous]This paper is from the Lancet: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(20)30785-4/fulltext Here's the key text [quote]790 phases from 131 countries were included in the analysis. A decreasing trend over time in the R ratio was found following the introduction of school closure, workplace closure, public events ban, requirements to stay at home, and internal movement limits; the reduction in R ranged from 3% to 24% on day 28 following the introduction compared with the last day before introduction, although the reduction was significant only for public events ban (R ratio 0·76, 95% CI 0·58–1·00); for all other NPIs, the upper bound of the 95% CI was above 1. An increasing trend over time in the R ratio was found following the relaxation of school closure, bans on public events, bans on public gatherings of more than ten people, requirements to stay at home, and internal movement limits; the increase in R ranged from 11% to 25% on day 28 following the relaxation compared with the last day before relaxation, although [b]the increase was significant only for school reopening (R ratio 1·24, 95% CI 1·00–1·52) and lifting bans on public gatherings of more than ten people (1·25, 1·03–1·51); for all other NPIs,[/b] the lower bound of the 95% CI was below 1.[/quote][/quote]
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