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[quote=Anonymous]I have been tracking the COVID numbers very closely in Virginia, with a focus on Vienna (I live in town)l. Probably someone reading this follows my facebook posts.

I am very concerned about the observed lack of social distancing.  Outside is safer than inside, but not safe.  And we do not know what is going on in peoples houses.  I have seen facebook photos of kids and the friends at home.

With that said, the data right now shows that teens and tweens have the lowest growth rate of any age group in Northern VA, with a slightly negative Rt.  My guess is there is a teen/tween bubble.  They isolate themselves.  As long as the virus in to in the age group, they will remain ok.  But, that could change quickly.

I am very concerned.

But, with that said, it is a small minority of kids that are doing this.  My DD and her friends are all social isolating.  And the number of young people I see is a small fraction of the community.  But, there are some adult roll models, largely sports coaches (including highly regarded school coaches) that are encouraging kids to play there sports.  And there is not social distancing -- there could be....close the bleachers to spectators and use those to spread out.

Oh, and I do not believe this is isolated to Vienna.  I see the same thing in Fairfax and in Arlington.

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