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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]How much of a difference ED / SCEA makes depends on the school you are talking about.  Have you seen this data?

Of course what you can't see in this is how many "hooked" students were also ED students -- meaning they would have gotten in regardless of when they applied.

https://www.iecaonline.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/Early-Decision-and-Regular-Decision-Acceptance-Rates-April-2018.pdf?fbclid=IwAR3oXgn9bEVEhtxyp8BHS36zyX4r3jUAqFx7pLNbiIPXEL9nYnWMqZl_hsg

Most selective colleges and universities put out a news release about its accepted students and include the acceptance rates for early vs. RD candidates. [/quote]

I'm not the Stats guru, but here are the few points, I've gleaned from looking at it:

1. The composition of applicants to ED may differ from RD.  ED both includes recruited athletes, legacies that may have lower stats than average but considerable "hooks." Outside of those cases, people usually apply ED to a school that they are not a sure thing at, but have a reasonable shot at. So likely less variability in scores/applicant quality once you take out the athletes/legacies.  It's helpful to compare the stats of students admitted ED and RD to get a sense of the advantage at a particular school.

2. Schools know that each ED admit is a definite "yes" so they are inclined to admit those who are a good fit for the school's needs.  They don't have to worry about yield with ED.  So even if they fill 50% of the class with ED, doesn't mean your chances are so much worse applying RD because they will accept far more candidates than will attend RD.

3. A NYTimes article that I can't find right now reported on a study on ED that controlled for these and likely other factors and found that the overall advantage of applying ED to selective schools conferred an average advantage of about 1-2% chance or something around there.  So an advantage but not as outsized a one as sometimes thought.  But individual schools vary.  For some, controlling for all these factors, ED was more of an advantage.  For others, it had no advantage.[/quote]

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