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[quote=Anonymous]From time to time I see a poster on here who contributes to discussions by manipulating data and spitting out conclusions which I [i]mostly[/i] can follow.  However, being stats challenged, I still have a couple of questions and I'm hoping you can chime in with a Stats for Dummies primer for College Admissions (and to everyone else: please feel free to interject your own questions on this thread if Stats Guru is willing).

My primary question is about a frequent response I see here related to Early Admissions and chances for acceptance, especially as related to subsequent Regular Decisions.  Can you please explain why sometimes you say that the chances for acceptance for X Student for are Y% in ED but dribble off to Z% in the RD rounds separate and apart from the published acceptance rates by those colleges for those rounds.  You seem to be making some kind of anti-cumulative argument that I can't follow related to the merits of an X Student's application.  I can't find an example thread at the moment but you've stated this several times and I'm wondering.

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