Any early indication of a rebound in attendance?
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Anonymous
| I'm curious whether anyone is seeing evidence of increased attendance over last year. We won't have the official numbers for a while, but it'll be interesting to see if the move to private/homeschool has stopped or reversed. Purely a one-off anecdote, but a neighbor on our street had moved to private last year but made the decision very recently to go back to our base FCPS ES. |
Anonymous
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I was curious so I just looked around to see what I could find.
In June 2020 FCPS had 189,852 students enrolled. In fall 2021 enrollment fell to 178,595. So a loss of around 6%? It will be very interesting to see what is reported this fall. Anecdotally, I know our local ES added a K teacher this fall. |
Anonymous
| I know a lot of families who went to private Kindergarten last year but came back to FCPS for 1st and are planning to stay. However all the people I know who started homeschooling because of Covid are sticking with it. |
cmsmeade
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I know RCMS is down from a high in the 1500s to the 1300s... but the Principal said that was in part b/c of a drop in births... evidently 2009-2010-ish were low birth years so seeing less students overall in middle school.
Really? So I looked it up - https://www.prb.org/resources/u-s-fertility-in-decline/#:~:text=The%20birth%20rate%20for%20women,births%20to%20unmarried%20women%20declined. |
Anonymous
| I really don't think you can assume a drop in attendance means that everyone went to private school. There were fewer immigrants during covid. People moved out of the area completely, etc. |
Anonymous
| Demographics change too--so you can't do it by enrollment numbers, rather you have to look at percent of eligible school aged children enrolled. |
Anonymous
Carson's drop could also be AAP kids staying at their base schools because they think they will have a better shot at TJ from their base school then an AAP Center. |
Anonymous
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I thought 2010
And 2011 were low birth years due to the great recession? |
Anonymous
| I'm on the board of a Fairfax county multi sport rec league. We have always had significantly fewer fall 2009, 2010 and 2011 kids then any other year. |
Anonymous
This was a big one - there are a LOT of new kids in our school this year, and most of them are south asian and middle eastern names. (I think this is fantastic as my children are South Asian and I grew up the ONLY brown kid in a sea of white kids). |
Anonymous
| Both of my kids' teachers reported 2-3 last minute enrollments in their classes this week. I have no idea if that's normal or not but it seems like a lot to me. |
Anonymous
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Our school ended the 2019-2020 SY at 991 students.
2020-2021 SY ended at 878. 2021-2022 SY rebounded to 941, but this year we seem to be down again. I know at least two grade levels are down a teacher and it will be interesting to see where the total enrollment is at the end of September. |
Anonymous
| I think enrollment is very different from attendance. Attendance is an issue in our pyramid. Enrollment is TBD. |
Anonymous
| Our ES added another K class this year, but the rising 1st graders’ headcount stayed about the same. |
Anonymous
Are they down a Teacher but the class size is larger or down a Teacher with smaller classes? There are some schools who could not hire Teachers that increased class size, so classes that had been in the 20’s are now in the 30 range. |