Any idea how they staff the rules committee? My guess is that it will be packed with Establishment/Insider Republicans. |
It's hard to imagine there will be many of either Trump or Cruz's people on it. |
There are no "magic" rules. He cannot win on the first ballot. That is only thing he has been eliminated from. I am not sure you are consistent. On one hand, you are saying that votes matter. On the other hand, you seem to strongly imply that they only matter if the person being voted for has a chance to win. If I were a Kasich supporter and my primary was upcoming, I would still want the ability to cast my vote for the candidate that I want - not be forced to vote for Trump or Cruz. Maybe that where his decency kicks in - giving people who supported him since jump the ability to actually cast a vote for him. You talk about "dropping" out. What does that even mean in this context? Rubio suspended his campaign but kept his delegates - he is still in play. |
What happens when a candidate "releases" his delegates? Or can the candidate force "his" delegates to support someone else. What I imagine happening is that an outsider - like Paul Ryan - strikes a deal with Kasich, Rubio, and Cruz for their delegates, if allowed by the rules. He can then offer them appointments in his Presidency, if he wins. I can see Cruz as AG, Rubio as Commerce or Homeland Security Secretary, and Kasich as HHS Secretary. |
For sure, Trump's ego is insane. But there isn't a path for Kasich. i LIKE him! The GOP would be much better off if he was the nominee, but his candidacy is not resonating at ALL. So, it's the decent thing for him to get out and let the front runners duke it out. For him to stay in? I do think it speaks to his ego. He must be working in a huge bubble. |
Also -- does rule 40b (thou must winneth eight or more states) apply on second and subsequent ballots?
Kasich is sticking around in the hopes of doing well in the Acela Primary in three weeks. With 200-250 delegates he is well-positioned to make an impact should the convention go past the first ballot? FWIW, when I flipped my registration to (R), I noticed that Kasich didn't have three delegates for MD-6 and MD-8 (you vote on page 1 for a candidate and on page 2 for three delegates.) That seems like he wasn't *really* expecting to make it this far. Hell, even Fiorina had two delegates for MD-6! |
He should suspend his campaign just like everyone else did, but he may choose to keep his delegates. His name will still be on the ballot, and his voters can still vote for him. |
And the rules for suspending/ending a candidacy do different things in different states. Some delegates are immediately released and others are Zombie delegates up for grabs after the Nth ballot.
Cruz is also outmaneuvering Trump on the inside baseball game. Much was made of Cruz managing to win the LA delegate count, but in other states (e.g. VA) the delegates might have to vote Trump on the first ballot but Cruz is making sure the actual delegates aren't committed to making America Great Again. |
Insults only show fear. Worried now, huh? |
http://nypost.com/2016/04/05/how-long-must-america-endure-john-kasichs-sad-delusions
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