Is the delta between renting & owning now so high that it really just makes sense to rent?

Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:In case anyone wants to look, the going rate for a SFH or townhouse rental in Cupertino is in the $4-6K range for a 3BR. So $6K is actually on the higher end of what's available.

https://www.zillow.com/cupertino-ca/rentals/?searchQueryState=%7B%22pagination%22%3A%7B%7D%2C%22isMapVisible%22%3Atrue%2C%22mapBounds%22%3A%7B%22west%22%3A-122.10998432861328%2C%22east%22%3A-122.0095624230957%2C%22south%22%3A37.287908784262335%2C%22north%22%3A37.34142675180764%7D%2C%22regionSelection%22%3A%5B%7B%22regionId%22%3A4281%2C%22regionType%22%3A6%7D%5D%2C%22filterState%22%3A%7B%22sort%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3A%22priorityscore%22%7D%2C%22ah%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Atrue%7D%2C%22fr%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Atrue%7D%2C%22fsba%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Afalse%7D%2C%22fsbo%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Afalse%7D%2C%22nc%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Afalse%7D%2C%22cmsn%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Afalse%7D%2C%22auc%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Afalse%7D%2C%22fore%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Afalse%7D%2C%22apco%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Afalse%7D%2C%22apa%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Afalse%7D%2C%22con%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Afalse%7D%7D%2C%22isEntirePlaceForRent%22%3Atrue%2C%22isRoomForRent%22%3Afalse%2C%22isListVisible%22%3Atrue%2C%22mapZoom%22%3A14%7D


That doesn't seem outrageous for rent. I live in McLean and the 60-year-old SFH rent for $5k+. And the new builds are also $3M.
I know someone in Palo Alto and they choose to rent, because home prices are too high.


Palo Alto now feels like the kind of place where unless you make Founder-level money on an IPO, you put in your 10-20 years and GTFO once you've made your nut (all while trying to keep housing costs as low as possible). $5K for a house in Cupertino is not bad at all. If you're a FAANG engineer, you will bank plenty of money and invest it in the market. Maybe buy a rental home in a lower COL area where you will want to retire.

The issue with Cupertino is that all the housing stock was bought up in the 1st tech wave. People have kept those houses as rentals since the late 90s and they are sitting on deferred asset gold mine.

Look at the Redfin house that sold: https://www.redfin.com/CA/Cupertino/10325-Bonny-Dr-95014/home/597865?600390594=copy_variant&1778901559=variant&utm_source=ios_share&utm_medium=share&utm_nooverride=1&utm_content=link&utm_campaign=share_sheet

Bought in 1995 for $410K and taxes frozen at that level ever since. Sold in Feb 2024 for $3.45M. Insane. This is a very standard middle class house in California; I grew up one remarkably similar in SoCal.


That price is so ridiculous as to be absurd, and I’m used to the DC area absurdity. But wow I can’t imagine why anyone would willingly choose to move to Cupertino right now.
Anonymous
We were looking to buy in Massachusetts - 2-2.5 mil, until I did this very calculation. Would cost us hundreds of thousands in a down payment plus $15-20k / month (almost all interest) to buy … or we could just rent for $5-6k and put that money in the market.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:We were looking to buy in Massachusetts - 2-2.5 mil, until I did this very calculation. Would cost us hundreds of thousands in a down payment plus $15-20k / month (almost all interest) to buy … or we could just rent for $5-6k and put that money in the market.


Which area of Mass? The math just doesn’t make sense when you can rent the same place for one-third of the monthly PITI. You’re making the right call.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Silicon valley home prices are distorted because of zoning keeping them SFHs rather than making best use of the land given demand. These homes are not gems bur demand is crazy.


California already made single family zoning illegal because YIMBY's want to destroy the American Dream. If you are going to complain about zoning policies at least stay up to date on the new rules.


https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.marinij.com/2024/04/26/la-court-strikes-down-controversial-california-law-abolishing-single-family-zoning/amp/

"The Los Angeles County Superior Court judge’s ruling, issued Monday, means that SB 9 can’t be applied in these five cities. The judge is expected to produce a ruling in the next month that could strike down SB 9 statewide"

And FYI just because zoning allows more than single family homes doesn't mean you can't build single family homes. Just means you can build more if you want to.
Anonymous
This is the closest comparison I could find, but I’m not seeing how buying would be better in the long run other than said landlord wanting to take their property back. As others have mentioned, renting is the better option as in this case buying would be $2k more a month plus everything else that comes with it.


https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/3205-Theodore-R-Hagans-Dr-NE-Washington-DC-20018/88808131_zpid/

https://redf.in/9c0SM6
Anonymous
If we were in our early 30s now like we were when we bought our home (2013), we would probably take a hard look at renting something much smaller and not buying. With the headache that can be home ownership, limits on SALT deductions, interest rates, and the fact that you couldn't buy what we currently own for less that ~1.5M, I am just not seeing it.

I have several friends that are 5-7 years behind us with young families and they are stuck in their starter homes. You can always seek out more income, but that also comes at the cost of your time.

I am glad we bought our "forever" home and renovated it to our liking. Totally luck on our part we did.
Anonymous
We moved cross country and planned to buy (currently renting) but we've lost so many houses to multiple offers. Prices just keep going up. I think we are giving up.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:I live in California. My rent is $1650 for a small one bedroom with no bathtub, no dishwasher and two closets. I can't afford to buy. Anything. At all.

Unless I moved to the middle of nowhere and bought a shack.


Not really
Anonymous
I've done the calculation for a 1-bedroom condo in DC.
Total payment would be $2700 month to buy vs $2200 rent the same condo. I would also be 'out' $60k down payment, which is 20% and other fees it took to buy.
The prices have been the same since 2008, so there won't be much appreciation. Might be $350k in 20 years depending on inflation, so really losing money. The interest deduction and upkeep should cancel each other out.
The $2200 is increase for the upcoming year. I had a good deal paying just $1950.
Now, $60k and the extra $6k a year invested for 20 years is about $800k. I also would have an option not to invest some months because of hardship. I would not have an option to not pay mortgage or HOA or taxes. I have an option to move to a cheaper place if rent gets too high.
I'm renting until my investments are big enough that a $300k out of them won't be noticeable. Should be there soon.
I already made the mistake of buying vs renting. Both places were for living though, but it just didn't work out well.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:I've done the calculation for a 1-bedroom condo in DC.
Total payment would be $2700 month to buy vs $2200 rent the same condo. I would also be 'out' $60k down payment, which is 20% and other fees it took to buy.
The prices have been the same since 2008, so there won't be much appreciation. Might be $350k in 20 years depending on inflation, so really losing money. The interest deduction and upkeep should cancel each other out.
The $2200 is increase for the upcoming year. I had a good deal paying just $1950.
Now, $60k and the extra $6k a year invested for 20 years is about $800k. I also would have an option not to invest some months because of hardship. I would not have an option to not pay mortgage or HOA or taxes. I have an option to move to a cheaper place if rent gets too high.
I'm renting until my investments are big enough that a $300k out of them won't be noticeable. Should be there soon.
I already made the mistake of buying vs renting. Both places were for living though, but it just didn't work out well.


Condos are terrible examples to use. They have very different appreciations and market fundamentals than SFHs. The 1-bedroom condo is the worst of all. In your particular situation it seems like you can justify renting over owning if your option is restricted to a 1-bedroom condo vs apartment. A family is a different story.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I live in California. My rent is $1650 for a small one bedroom with no bathtub, no dishwasher and two closets. I can't afford to buy. Anything. At all.

Unless I moved to the middle of nowhere and bought a shack.


This would be considered reasonable rent if located in a decent area of DC.


I pay $2700 for a one bedroom in downtown DC (I do have a bathtub and a dishwasher, though, and it’s quite spacious). Also no car and can’t afford a down payment on anything I would want to buy. But I have a new job that doesn’t tie my to DC, and I’m moving next month so I’ll be able to save! Good luck to you CA PP — I hope something works out for you.


This is so crazy to me. All throughout my 20s (and my sister did into her 30s) I lived with roommates in not the most desirable areas (but safe) in order to save for a home. It paid off.

I had friends paying maybe 1700-2500 for a one bedroom apartment (10+ years ago) whereas I was paying $500-$800 for a room in a shared apartment. Was it ideal? No, but I saved and invested that money over 10+ years and it paid off. When I moved in with my now husband we lived in a tiny apartment together and saved a ton of money. He also commented on how good of a communicator I was and living with a variety of people helps you learn how to better communicate and handle things when living with other people.

I have cousins in their 20s and they all live alone or in these shared luxury apartments! One cousin lives with 2 friends in this crazy gorgeous apartment in Manhattan and her rent for her one bedroom in the 3 bedroom apartment is around what OP pays for a 1 bedroom! She saves no money (she is not in finance or tech) and her parents subsidize her income. They are doing her no favors. There is no understanding to live a little bit more away in a not fancy apartment and save/ invest your money for the future.

Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:We were looking to buy in Massachusetts - 2-2.5 mil, until I did this very calculation. Would cost us hundreds of thousands in a down payment plus $15-20k / month (almost all interest) to buy … or we could just rent for $5-6k and put that money in the market.


Where in MA can you rent a $2million dollar home for $6k a month?!
Anonymous
A point that hasn’t been made is that it will likely be possible to refinance at a lower in a couple years. But renting seems like the winner financially right now.
Anonymous
it is hard to compare renting to owning.

Why? The house I own is way better than anything I would rent.


Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:We were looking to buy in Massachusetts - 2-2.5 mil, until I did this very calculation. Would cost us hundreds of thousands in a down payment plus $15-20k / month (almost all interest) to buy … or we could just rent for $5-6k and put that money in the market.


Where in MA can you rent a $2million dollar home for $6k a month?!


In Potomac and Bethesda 2 million dollar homes rent for about that. It is pretty common.
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