But then how do we know there is a crime spike at all? Maybe crime is at an all time low
(I know, I know...anecdata and/or crime "feels" worse) |
Source for this? When has DC been "repeatedly caught"? (And please point to an actual news story or statement, not another "my grandpa's friend's niece got kicked in the shin and the police didn't take a report") |
No one is suggesting that crime only occurs in urban areas. However it is clear from the statistics that violent crime occurs more in urban areas. Not exclusively, but more. I live in close-in Bethesda, near metro and the high school. We have a lot of car break-ins. Some house break-ins. A fair amount of retail break-ins. Not that many robberies/assaults of people on the streets, which is most people's fear, I think. Do they happen? Sure. But not with nearly the frequency that they do in any area of DC. In part it may be a numbers game. There are a lot more people in DC, out at all hours, therefore both more potential perpetrators and more potential victims. But whatever the cause, it is not a myth that violent crime occurs more in urban areas. |
| heroin is the new crack? |
| Unfortunately, the crime situation is beginning to feel like B-A-R-R-Y T-I-M-E again. |
| Unfortunately, the crime situation is beginning to feel like B-A-R-R-Y T-I-M-E again. |
Most of the crime in bethesda is from the lovely DC criminal taking the metro |
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I had a co-worker who said she left her car door open to make it easier for the thief to realize she had nothing of value to steal. It was cheaper than replacing broken glass. |
I wish, but she must have some incriminating information on our CC. Most people know that's how she originally got her job. |
Hey, if it happens to enough people that means it happens. You might not like anecdotes, but if the people who are supposed to be taking the reports for the stats how do you prove it. My anecdote is that they would not take a report from me, and I wish it was a mere kick in the shin. |
Here is some light reading for you. This is just a sampling of information that can be found if one wants to hear the truth. https://www.washingtonpost.com/investigations/the-trick-to-dc-police-forces-94percent-closure-rate-for-2011-homicides/2012/01/30/gIQATErbMR_story.html http://georgetownvoice.com/2012/02/23/mpd%E2%80%99s-bogus-statistics-betray-public-trust/ Article reporting how Lanier manipulates her crime closure rates. If she manipulates the data boosting her effectiveness in closing homicides, one can infer that she has no problem manipulating the data concerning a decrease in crime. http://www.washingtoncitypaper.com/news/city-desk/blog/13066748/human-rights-watch-mpd-officers-blame-intimidate-sex-crime-victims Here's one where the Human Rights Watch accuse and show data where Lanier made excuses for erroneous data concerning sexual assault victims. HRW accused MPD of misclassifying, failing to investigate, or intimidating victims to dropping their reports. Sound personally familiar in my case. http://dailycaller.com/2015/09/04/dc-police-union-says-mayor-is-lying-about-crime-stats/ The people out on the street know what is going on. http://dcpoliceunion.com/blog/crime-has-decreased-under-chief-cathy-lanier-false There are other reports. You just have to be open to hearing instead of excusing. |
You did read the rather extraordinary editor's note in the lead in there, right? The one that essentially disavows the earlier misleading version of the story, and includes the following: In fact, as the article reported, the department has followed practices consistent with federal crime-data guidelines and relied upon the same methodology used by other major municipal police agencies. The department hasn’t altered the ways it calculates homicide-closure rates since Cathy L. Lanier became chief in 2007, and it discloses its methodology in its annual report. Oooh, that sneaky Lanier. Continuing the methodology used by her predecessor, following practices consistent with federal crime-data guidelines, and using the same methodology as other major municipal police agencies, all of which is disclosed publicly. Cunning.
The allegations that were largely debunked here (Note: not that MPD investigators did not make mistakes or that processes could not be improved, as it sounds you can attest): http://mpdc.dc.gov/sites/default/files/dc/sites/mpdc/page_content/attachments/Crowell-Moring_Report%20-%20MPD%20and%20HRW.pdf Remember, these entities, even well-meaning advocacy groups, have agendas which cannot help but affect their claims. Which provides a nice transition to..
The DailyCaller citing union leaders who are orchestrating a no confidence vote on the eve of union elections? Union leaders claiming crime is bad, and that oh by the way, they need more dues paying union members? I'm shocked. |
Several local law enforcement veterans and some criminologists from around the nation said that including older cases produces a misleading impression. W. Louis Hennessy, a former D.C. police captain who oversaw the homicide unit from 1993 to 1995, called such statistics “entirely unfair.” Hennessy said D.C. police in the past calculated the closure rate by using only homicides that happened in a particular calendar year. When the closure rate declined in the 1980s, he said, the department switched to using the UCR totals, making it appear that the department was solving more homicides. “I felt like anytime you could have more than 100 percent, it’s a little bit misleading and deceiving,” said Hennessy, who is now a Maryland District Court judge. “When I came in, I changed it back. If we look like we’re deceiving or being deceitful, how can we, in good faith, ask them [people] to put their lives on the line? People like to keep on their blinders and the Washington Post editors have been having their personal orgasms for Lanier from the time she was tapped by Lanier. However, her numbers are manipulative and deceiving as stated by many in the LEO community around the country. Just when has the WAPO editorial board know more about crime reporting and stats than the people who actually do it. And it's mighty fine of you to dismiss sexual assault victims and their advocates. I hope you never have to come face to face with having to make such a report and being poo pooed. |
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If we look like we’re deceiving or being deceitful, how can we, in good faith, ask them [people] to put their lives on the line?
BTW, this is the best line of the entire article. And you summarily dismissed the article from the Georgetown Voice. Typical Apologists and Excusers of the Truth. |