Guesses - will government open by late Oct?

[Anonymous]

I think Nov 5.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I think Nov 5.

So you think the House will return to work and actually get something done that quickly? They've been home on vacation for a few weeks now.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:The democrats really want things done before Nov 1, and republicans may finally be climbing aboard. Nov 1 is when enrollment begins for ACA.

+1

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I think Nov 5.

So you think the House will return to work and actually get something done that quickly? They've been home on vacation for a few weeks now.

I think once people see how much their premiums are going up, the pressure will ratchet up on house republicans.

[Anonymous]

Never? I can totally see them funding certain preferred agencies, and just leaving the rest permanently shuttered.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:My guess is maybe by Thanksgiving if airline and airport impacts are increasing.

+1

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I'm an optimist and think a late October resolution is still possible, due to ATC and TSA having to call out instead of continue to work unpaid. Everybody's going to miss a full paycheck next week.

I wish someone would put a bill forward to reopen the government for 1 minute every two weeks so military and civilians get their paychecks while they have their pissing match.

Yes, because it takes one minute for everyone to submit/approve time cards and issue pay.

We don't need to: they just need to be funded briefly so that an excepted employee (working unpaid, sorry) can process the time and cut the checks for the past two weeks. You do not have to personally validate your timecard if you are out, there is a timekeeper who can do that if necessary. That's how really ill people on sick leave get their timecards done.

I actually love PP's idea, it would show good faith.

[Anonymous]

I think this will continue until sometime in 2026.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Never? I can totally see them funding certain preferred agencies, and just leaving the rest permanently shuttered.

This is the final step for DOGE.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The democrats really want things done before Nov 1, and republicans may finally be climbing aboard. Nov 1 is when enrollment begins for ACA.

+1

+2 If the Republicans were serious about passing a CR and negotiating the ACA subsidies later, then they would start negotiating at least by Nov 1st.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:It's going to last longer than 34 days, because that's how long the shutdown lasted during Trump's first term. He has enough bandwidth to hold out that long. Let's see if he can hold out longer.

This is why I said New Year's. He is big on "big," so he will want to outdo his last record.

[Anonymous]

He’ll make a big announcement that he’s getting it done before Thanksgiving because he cares about family. Ugh.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:My guess is maybe by Thanksgiving if airline and airport impacts are increasing.

I doubt it will reopen in October. Sometime in November seems likely.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I think Nov 5.

So you think the House will return to work and actually get something done that quickly? They've been home on vacation for a few weeks now.

I think once people see how much their premiums are going up, the pressure will ratchet up on house republicans.

when would they find that out, though? Does ACA send out letters? (honest questions)

[Anonymous]

Damn. Really?? It’s going to go that long?