Any predictions on divisions next year - MCSL

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Check MCSL divisions here https://reachforthewall.org/2022/06/17/mcsl-the-nuts-and-bolts/ for an explanation of how next year divisions are determined. This comes out the evening after divisional so most teams know at their end of season banquet. Of note it does NOT do age ups so a standout that got you a lot of points might move to a different age group next year and not be quite so good.

Besides not doing age-ups, the system also does not account for age-outs. Teams that had really great senior and super-senior cohorts could suffer next year.

I'd also submit that if you're not sniffing at Division A or B, it's more fun for everyone on a team to dominate in a later letter of the alphabet than to get stomped in an earlier one. I'm not all that anxious to move up.

But regardless of where we rank (and it's based on times, not victories, so who knows?), what I do want is for our team to end up in a division with other teams that contain kind people with productive attitudes, willing hands, strong spirit, and a sense of fun. Those situations have always produced the best dual meets and the best experiences. I wish we could measure that.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:My kid had a leaked version Saturday, ask around.

Yeah, so...???

What do you want to know? Happy to report a few teams.

The above response is from it. I don’t have a way to attach and am not recreating

PP, curious about these from the lower divisions!

Waters Landing
North Creek
West Hillandale
New Mark Commons

Thank you!

I think you'd have to take into account that (like plenty of others) not all of these teams fill all of their lanes at all of their A meets. That is probably going to result in fewer digital meet victories in the computer system. If I were trying to guess at these, I'd look back at the meet results and stack them according to the number of gaps. That would give you a rough (and imperfect) sense of who has the better chance to move up.

[Anonymous]

I don’t think using division results would do anything to make the meets more competitive or make a better system. Take a look at times from relay carnival, which gives you a (albeit imperfect) snapshot of depth. There are generally very few teams from the bottom half of the league who could compete with the top half. And a lot of top half teams that could place at all stars but won’t have a chance to swim at that meet bc they didn’t win division.

Using only low age times to determine next year would be more accurate. Not involved enough to know if it is even possible to run data like that.

In any event, there will be no perfect system to predict only the best match-ups. That is why you swim IRL. Anything can happe.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Check MCSL divisions here https://reachforthewall.org/2022/06/17/mcsl-the-nuts-and-bolts/ for an explanation of how next year divisions are determined. This comes out the evening after divisional so most teams know at their end of season banquet. Of note it does NOT do age ups so a standout that got you a lot of points might move to a different age group next year and not be quite so good.

Besides not doing age-ups, the system also does not account for age-outs. Teams that had really great senior and super-senior cohorts could suffer next year.

I'd also submit that if you're not sniffing at Division A or B, it's more fun for everyone on a team to dominate in a later letter of the alphabet than to get stomped in an earlier one. I'm not all that anxious to move up.

But regardless of where we rank (and it's based on times, not victories, so who knows?), what I do want is for our team to end up in a division with other teams that contain kind people with productive attitudes, willing hands, strong spirit, and a sense of fun. Those situations have always produced the best dual meets and the best experiences. I wish we could measure that.

This is so true. Our team will most likely move up next year, but swimmer are not really thrilled about it. They are already concerned about going winless next year against much stronger teams. Summer league is for fun. I totally agree with what you said about being in a division with other teams have kind parents, kids with good attitude.

[Anonymous]

Curious where the current division C teams are moving?

Glenwood
Clarksburg Village
Manchester Farm
Mohican
Mill Creek Towne
Franklin Knolls

[Anonymous]

Predictions in order

A: RMSC, SG, SB, ASA, RF WM
B: FV CH TH CV CCRA FR
C: DT BE G MCF WCF RE

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Predictions in order

A: RMSC, SG, SB, ASA, RF WM
B: FV CH TH CV CCRA FR
C: DT BE G MCF WCF RE

RMSC? ASA? This post can be ignored

[Anonymous]

i find it so odd, much like the soccer people on here that grown adults have so much invested in records and knowledge of other teams etc while most of the kids swimming have no idea what division they are in or care what division they are in.

[Anonymous]

Predictions in order

A: RK, SB, CG, SG, PO, RF
B: FV, DT CCRA FR CLK WM
C: TH BE G MCF MO RE

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:i find it so odd, much like the soccer people on here that grown adults have so much invested in records and knowledge of other teams etc while most of the kids swimming have no idea what division they are in or care what division they are in.

This is so true. DS and DW asked me what division we were in the other day and they were so shocked we were in a low-tier division. The only thing he cares about is what time he has to swim to get into the top 16 for all-stars. Oh and that he keeps his streak of all-star cut times at every meet (this one is more important.). I have adopted his way of thinking since and have enjoyed myself more this summer.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:i find it so odd, much like the soccer people on here that grown adults have so much invested in records and knowledge of other teams etc while most of the kids swimming have no idea what division they are in or care what division they are in.

This is so true. DS and DW asked me what division we were in the other day and they were so shocked we were in a low-tier division. The only thing he cares about is what time he has to swim to get into the top 16 for all-stars. Oh and that he keeps his streak of all-star cut times at every meet (this one is more important.). I have adopted his way of thinking since and have enjoyed myself more this summer.

This may be one of the most brilliant humblebrags I have ever read on DCUM. *chef’s kiss*

[Anonymous]

I probably know the same person as the OP, they get it right every year. A division is:
Stonegate
Rockville
Potomac
Country Glen
River Falls
Wildwood Manor

B is clarksburg village, tally Ho, ccra, stonebridge, bethesda, eldwick

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:i find it so odd, much like the soccer people on here that grown adults have so much invested in records and knowledge of other teams etc while most of the kids swimming have no idea what division they are in or care what division they are in.

This is so true. DS and DW asked me what division we were in the other day and they were so shocked we were in a low-tier division. The only thing he cares about is what time he has to swim to get into the top 16 for all-stars. Oh and that he keeps his streak of all-star cut times at every meet (this one is more important.). I have adopted his way of thinking since and have enjoyed myself more this summer.

This may be one of the most brilliant humblebrags I have ever read on DCUM. *chef’s kiss*

+100

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:i find it so odd, much like the soccer people on here that grown adults have so much invested in records and knowledge of other teams etc while most of the kids swimming have no idea what division they are in or care what division they are in.

This is so true. DS and DW asked me what division we were in the other day and they were so shocked we were in a low-tier division. The only thing he cares about is what time he has to swim to get into the top 16 for all-stars. Oh and that he keeps his streak of all-star cut times at every meet (this one is more important.). I have adopted his way of thinking since and have enjoyed myself more this summer.

That may be true for lower-division teams, but kids swimming on upper-division teams both know AND care

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I probably know the same person as the OP, they get it right every year. A division is:
Stonegate
Rockville
Potomac
Country Glen
River Falls
Wildwood Manor

B is clarksburg village, tally Ho, ccra, stonebridge, bethesda, eldwick

Yikes! You predict Stonebridge will be in B?!!